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On April 27 The Global Times, a mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), published an op-ed claiming that the United States will lose a war over Taiwan.

“Considering the congestion of hostile forces in, above, and below the Taiwan Straits and South China Sea, conflict could explode by accident or design,” the article states. “Once blood is drawn, the US will have few options. If the US elects to fight China over the island of Taiwan, then it will lose.”

The propaganda piece is filled with what can only be described as lies and distortions, such as the assertion that the “one country, two systems” framework is a “model under which both Taiwan and Hong Kong have gotten rich.”

In fact, Taiwan was never governed under the “one country, two systems” framework, and Hong Kong only adopted it in 1997, when the United Kingdom handed over the colony to the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Since then, the PRC has gradually dismantled the freedoms and civil liberties that Hong Kong enjoyed under British rule.

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The article further accuses Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) of “independence hubris … fueled by US cabinet-level China hawks and Congress’ bipartisan, bicameral Taiwan Caucus,” and of “reject[ing] political reunification in one China”.

The PRC claims that Taiwan belongs to its territory and has vowed to use force to annex it, although Taiwan is an independent state that has never been part of the PRC.

The author of the piece is Franz Gayl, who, according to his LinkedIn profile, is a science and technology advisor at HQ Marine Corps in the Pentagon. He states that he enlisted in the USMC in 1974, and retired as Major in 2002. He served as an infantry officer, operational test officer, and space plans officer.

As part of its united front policy, the PRC enlists foreign individuals, think tanks and media in an attempt to sway public opinion. Beijing’s active measures are reminiscent of strategies pursued by the Soviet Union and subsequently the Russian Federation.

Though the PRC has repeatedly accused the US of having a “Cold War mentality“, Beijing has threatened war and pursued aggressive policies towards neighbouring countries to change the territorial status quo.

On April 12 the PRC dispatched a record 25 warplanes into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone.


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